Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.033515e-03 1.176437e-03 0.001320 0.001474 0.001635 0.001797 0.001972
2025-11-30 8.593186e-04 1.069299e-03 0.001287 0.001526 0.001781 0.002042 0.002330
2025-12-07 6.788645e-04 9.345325e-04 0.001208 0.001516 0.001851 0.002200 0.002588
2025-12-14 5.137837e-04 7.988239e-04 0.001115 0.001481 0.001885 0.002313 0.002794
2025-12-21 4.167182e-04 7.288931e-04 0.001087 0.001510 0.001984 0.002491 0.003065
2025-12-28 3.030910e-04 6.254416e-04 0.001011 0.001479 0.002012 0.002587 0.003245
2026-01-04 2.265668e-04 5.575944e-04 0.000971 0.001483 0.002074 0.002718 0.003459
2026-01-11 1.554992e-04 4.851926e-04 0.000919 0.001469 0.002112 0.002818 0.003636
2026-01-18 9.971903e-05 4.228009e-04 0.000874 0.001458 0.002151 0.002917 0.003809
2026-01-25 4.145030e-05 3.354038e-04 0.000788 0.001394 0.002124 0.002940 0.003896
2026-02-01 1.154034e-05 2.785515e-04 0.000737 0.001369 0.002140 0.003008 0.004030
2026-02-08 6.975117e-08 2.392941e-04 0.000707 0.001367 0.002180 0.003102 0.004192
2026-02-15 NaN 1.888122e-04 0.000666 0.001365 0.002240 0.003240 0.004428
2026-02-22 NaN 1.673502e-04 0.000669 0.001420 0.002370 0.003460 0.004759
2026-03-01 NaN 1.225938e-04 0.000626 0.001414 0.002425 0.003594 0.004994
2026-03-08 NaN 7.557811e-05 0.000567 0.001381 0.002446 0.003688 0.005182
2026-03-15 NaN 5.559331e-05 0.000554 0.001411 0.002542 0.003868 0.005469
2026-03-22 NaN 2.511393e-05 0.000502 0.001381 0.002563 0.003960 0.005652
2026-03-29 NaN 9.887120e-06 0.000475 0.001386 0.002625 0.004097 0.005888
2026-04-05 NaN 1.585490e-07 0.000439 0.001372 0.002662 0.004204 0.006086
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000406 0.001362 0.002702 0.004313 0.006286
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000344 0.001300 0.002672 0.004337 0.006386
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001275 0.002689 0.004416 0.006548